SOCIAL: A helpful note for those who are obsessing over daily polls

[Dave Snyder]

Thanks, Tom. I had relaxed on Prop 8 figuring that Californians  
wouldn't want to amend the Constitution to mandate bigotry. That might  
be wrong. I already donated a little bit in honor of Jeff's wedding,  
but I'll do so again.

There are also local races which are key. And, if you're like me, I  
like to combine partying with donating, so consider come to this party  
to support one of the best candidates for Supervisor I know: John  
Avalos.

http://www.evite.com/pages/invite/viewInvite.jsp?inviteId=BUPNWIPPTXPMGNWSGUVY

Dave





I have stopped worrying about the Presidential race (Obama should send  
a thank-you note to Lehman Bros. Chairman Richard Fuld if he gets  
elected).

I have started worrying about Measure 8 winning in California.  
proponents have raised over $25 million, and recent polls are all over  
the place:

"...likely California voters overall now favor passage of Proposition  
8 by a five-point margin, 47 percent to 42 percent. Ironically, a CBS  
5 poll eleven days prior found a five-point margin in favor of the  
measure's opponents."


On Oct 8, 2008, at 2:06 PM, Amandeep Jawa wrote:

> I'm totally obsessing over daily polls, checking fivethirtyeight.com  
> every 20 minutes (it changes maybe twice a day)...
>
> If you are anywhere near that point, here is a thoughtful blog post  
> about what to worry  about and what NOT to worry about
>
> http://openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=8934
>
>
> ----------------------------------
> Amandeep Jawa
> ----------------------------------
> deep AT deeptrouble DOT com
> 937 Valencia St.
> San Francisco, CA 94110-2320
>
> personal: http://www.deeptrouble.com
> political: http://www.sflcv.org
>
>
>
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